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Thursday, October 27, 2011

Niners week 8

Here are three reasons why the 49ers shall win against the Cleveland Browns. 1) No rush offense means McCoy has to carry the workload, 2) Frank Gore..., 3) The 49ers defense is virtually a brick wall.

Monday, October 24, 2011

Week 7 Power Rankings

Here are my power rankings. They were determined using this algorithm I concocted: Enjoy

Power = 50 + W+ 0.43*HW + 0.57*RW + TO/2 + PM/G + W%

50 is an arbitrary number used so that I do not obtain negative values (they're a pain to work with).

W = wins which is set to a value of 5

HW = home wins - weighted to 0.43 because home teams win 57% on average over the last 10 years; they receive less points for having a higher average of winning.
RW = road wins - weighted to 0.57 because a team that wins on the road is better than a team that wins at home.

TO = turnover margin - it's divided by 2 to lessen its effect on total power (i.e. it's not weighted the same as point margin)

PM/G = point margin per game - denotes the average points scored minus points allowed per game

W% = win percentage - values were divided by ten to make results more-or-less equivalent to the rest of the variables (there is not an over inflation caused by W% just a point value - 100% = 10 points).


1 GB 92.63
2 SF 83.97
3 DET 77.86
4 HOU 76.75
5 NO 76.54
6 BAL 76.53
7 NE 74.60
8 BUF 73.86
9 ATL 72.57
10 NYJ 71.59
11 CHI 69.21
12 PIT 68.10
13 DAL 65.90
14 NYG 65.83
15 TB 64.93
16 CLE 61.56
17 OAK 59.14
18 CIN 58.83
19 CAR 58.71
20 SD 58.03
21 KC 57.48
22 WAS 57.10
23 TEN 56.10
24 MIN 53.50
25 DEN 52.22
26 JAX 50.60
27 SEA 49.67
28 ARI 44.60
29 PHI 42.47
30 MIA 37.17
31 STL 34.67
32 IND 24.00

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Rough power rankings

Hey guys, so this is a rough power rankings based on an algorithm I made. So far it only includes wins, points margin per game, and turnovers. It will include and weight road/home games and the power rankings of their opponents later on. Hope this sparks some intrigue!


1    GB    53.60
2    SF    45.67
3    DET    43.67
4    BAL    40.40
5    BUF    35.83
6    NE    34.33
7    CIN    28.20
8    NYG    25.17
9    OAK    24.00
10    HOU    20.83
11    SD    20.83
12    NO    19.33
13    NYJ    19.33
14    CHI    19.33
15    TB    16.60
16    TEN    14.83
17    ATL    14.60
18    WAS    14.60
19    PIT    12.83
20    DAL    10.00
21    MIN    5.00
22    CLE    3.67
23    SEA    3.33
24    PHI    2.00
25    ARI    -4.00
26    CAR    -6.00
27    DEN    -7.00
28    KC    -7.17
29    JAX    -8.00
30    MIA    -10.83
31    STL    -18.60
32    IND    -18.80
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