Week 11 power rankings.

It's that time again folks! Another week gone by and another week of upsets. The Ravens took a big hit after losing to Seattle. Houston moves up to 3rd but without Schaub we'll see what happens next week. Until then...

1	GB
2	SF
3	HOU
4	NO
5	CHI
6	PIT
7	NE
8	DET
9	CIN
10	NYG
11	BAL
12	DAL
13	TEN
14	OAK
15	ATL
16	NYJ
17	BUF
18	DEN
19	SD
20	SEA
21	TB
22	ARI
23	KC
24	JAX
25	PHI
26	CLE
27	MIA
28	WAS
29	CAR
30	MIN
31	STL
32	IND

Power rankings through week 9

Here are my rankings through week 9. Let me know what ya think...

1	GB
2	SF
3	BAL
4	DET
5	HOU
6	CIN
7	NYG
8	NO
9	NYJ
10	CHI
11	ATL
12	NE
13	PIT
14	BUF
15	DAL
16	PHI
17	DEN
18	TEN
19	SD
20	MIN
21	CAR
22	TB
23	ARI
24	OAK
25	JAX
26	KC
27	MIA
28	WAS
29	CLE
30	SEA
31	STL
32	IND

Updated NFL Rankings for Week 8

I changed my algorithm a bit in order to even out the effects of each variable I used. Statistical analysis showed that 3 of my variables did not matter which in reality was not the case. So I changed it and devised a new algorithm to provide you with this weeks rankings:

	Team	Pwr
1	GB	68.36
2	SF	61.79
3	DET	61.50
4	BUF	53.96
5	BAL	53.25
6	PIT	52.31
7	HOU	51.56
8	CIN	51.32
9	NE	50.64
10	NO	49.44
11	NYG	49.11
12	CHI	43.14
13	NYJ	42.89
14	TEN	40.79
15	ATL	40.61
16	SD	39.32
17	OAK	38.93
18	TB	38.25
19	KC	37.46
20	PHI	34.46
21	DAL	33.36
22	CLE	31.93
23	WAS	31.14
24	MIN	26.81
25	CAR	25.75
26	SEA	23.32
27	JAX	22.94
28	DEN	21.07
29	ARI	17.57
30	STL	13.68
31	MIA	8.79
32	IND	5.06

49ers not worthy?

Jeff Curry of US Presswire posted a short article/question on NFL.com about the obscurity of who is the 2nd best team in the NFC with commentary from NFL.com and NFL Network analysts:

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/09000d5d823a56df/article/pack-mentality-who-is-nfcs-secondbest-team-to-green-bay?module=HP11_content_stream.

Steve Wyche has the right idea by choosing the 49ers, but lets get to them later and begin by analyzing the NFC teams that the analysts chose to represent the NFC behind the Packers. The Saints just lost to one of the worst teams in the NFL after beating the poop out of THE worst team in the NFL (Colts) and have a losing record on the road 2-3.  In 2 of the last 3 games the Lions have proven to be inconsistent; except against a weary Broncos team and their "superman" Tebow. The Giants lost to Seattle and barely pulled out a win versus the Dolphins last week, showing that they can be inconsistent on both sides of the ball. The Eagles, although extremely talented and fast, lack the Defense to  stop a team's offense (with exception to the Cowboys apparently). Now, lets get to the 49ers.

 Although they "only" beat the Browns by 10 points, Jeff Curry fails to associate the Browns with any sort of proficiency as an NFL team and doesn't understand that a win is a win. Defensively, the Browns rank 5th in yards allowed per game and 8th in total points allowed per game. Although the Browns have only beaten the bottom of the NFL barrel (MIA, SEA, and IND), their defense has allowed them to remain in each and every game. So to say that the 49ers "did just enough" to beat the Browns is an asinine comment in my opinion. The game was much more difficult then Curry realizes.

Through week 7 the 49ers were the most efficient team on both offense and defense1. They have beaten playoff bound teams such as the Lions (6-2) , Eagles (3-4), Buccaneers (4-3), and Bengals (5-2), three of which came on the road. Through week 8 they sport the league's #2 Turnover ratio, are ranked #6 in points scored per game, #1 in points allowed, and #3 in net points. All of the mentioned stats are better than the Saints which were mentioned by several NFL.com and NFL Network analysts as being #2 in the NFC. Not to mention that the Niners have the second best winning percentage in the NFL (85.7%) behind the Packers. The 49ers, stat-wise and record wise are an elite NFL team and ARE #2 in the NFC and quite possibly the second best team in the NFL. The only exception could be between the now red-hot Steelers and the ever-dangerous Patriots. I would include Baltimore in the discussion but the inconsistency of their offense leaves me a skeptic. Regarding PIT and NE I guess we will find out who is better later down the road, especially when the 49ers play host to the Steelers on Monday Night (Week 15). 

1.  http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/kerry_byrne/10/26/49ers.coaching/index.html

Niners week 8

Here are three reasons why the 49ers shall win against the Cleveland Browns. 1) No rush offense means McCoy has to carry the workload, 2) Frank Gore..., 3) The 49ers defense is virtually a brick wall.

Week 7 Power Rankings

Here are my power rankings. They were determined using this algorithm I concocted: Enjoy

Power = 50 + W+ 0.43*HW + 0.57*RW + TO/2 + PM/G + W%

50 is an arbitrary number used so that I do not obtain negative values (they're a pain to work with).

W = wins which is set to a value of 5

HW = home wins - weighted to 0.43 because home teams win 57% on average over the last 10 years; they receive less points for having a higher average of winning.
RW = road wins - weighted to 0.57 because a team that wins on the road is better than a team that wins at home.

TO = turnover margin - it's divided by 2 to lessen its effect on total power (i.e. it's not weighted the same as point margin)

PM/G = point margin per game - denotes the average points scored minus points allowed per game

W% = win percentage - values were divided by ten to make results more-or-less equivalent to the rest of the variables (there is not an over inflation caused by W% just a point value - 100% = 10 points).

1	GB	92.63
2	SF	83.97
3	DET	77.86
4	HOU	76.75
5	NO	76.54
6	BAL	76.53
7	NE	74.60
8	BUF	73.86
9	ATL	72.57
10	NYJ	71.59
11	CHI	69.21
12	PIT	68.10
13	DAL	65.90
14	NYG	65.83
15	TB	64.93
16	CLE	61.56
17	OAK	59.14
18	CIN	58.83
19	CAR	58.71
20	SD	58.03
21	KC	57.48
22	WAS	57.10
23	TEN	56.10
24	MIN	53.50
25	DEN	52.22
26	JAX	50.60
27	SEA	49.67
28	ARI	44.60
29	PHI	42.47
30	MIA	37.17
31	STL	34.67
32	IND	24.00

Rough power rankings

Hey guys, so this is a rough power rankings based on an algorithm I made. So far it only includes wins, points margin per game, and turnovers. It will include and weight road/home games and the power rankings of their opponents later on. Hope this sparks some intrigue!

1    GB    53.60 2    SF    45.67 3    DET    43.67 4    BAL    40.40 5    BUF    35.83 6    NE    34.33 7    CIN    28.20 8    NYG    25.17 9    OAK    24.00 10    HOU    20.83 11    SD    20.83 12    NO    19.33 13    NYJ    19.33 14    CHI    19.33 15    TB    16.60 16    TEN    14.83 17    ATL    14.60 18    WAS    14.60 19    PIT    12.83 20    DAL    10.00 21    MIN    5.00 22    CLE    3.67 23    SEA    3.33 24    PHI    2.00 25    ARI    -4.00 26    CAR    -6.00 27    DEN    -7.00 28    KC    -7.17 29    JAX    -8.00 30    MIA    -10.83 31    STL    -18.60 32    IND    -18.80 d